Nürnberg 1-0 Darmstadt 98 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.79
6+ Goals
13%
7.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.28
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
12.0
X/1
14%
5.72
X/2
8%
6.39
X/X
8%
5.34
2/1
8%
23.4
2/2
20%
3.9
2/X
6%
12.25
Value flag · 1/X at 12.0 — our 12% vs market 5.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.3pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.29/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.36
-9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
18.3 Crosses 18.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.80 xG 1.49
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
356 Passes 297
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-1 HT 1-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
31.03.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 0-1 HT 0-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
17.09.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-0 HT 2-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
09.04.2022 Nürnberg Nürnberg 3-1 HT 1-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
29.10.2021 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-0 HT 1-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
06.02.2021 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-2 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg
1-0
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.16 xG 0.58
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
363 Passes 443
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nürnberg vs Darmstadt 98
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg squeezed past Darmstadt 98 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Nürnberg made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nürnberg had 46% of the ball to Darmstadt 98's 54%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.16 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nürnberg and 1.33 for Darmstadt 98.

What was the final score of Nürnberg vs Darmstadt 98?

Nürnberg 1-0 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg vs Darmstadt 98?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg 39%, draw 26%, Darmstadt 98 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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