Darmstadt 98 1-1 Nürnberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
14%
8.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.63
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
17%
4.77
X/2
10%
7.61
X/X
10%
5.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.7
2/2
11%
5.08
2/X
9%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+2.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.55/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.72
-4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
20.3 Crosses 16.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Nürnberg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.54 xG 0.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
312 Passes 349
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 0-1 HT 0-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
17.09.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-0 HT 2-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
09.04.2022 Nürnberg Nürnberg 3-1 HT 1-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
29.10.2021 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-0 HT 1-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
06.02.2021 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-2 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
05.10.2020 Nürnberg Nürnberg 2-3 HT 1-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
1-1
AWAY Nürnberg
1.21 xG 0.35
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 2
402 Passes 220
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
36 Box Touches 4
35 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Nürnberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darmstadt 98 and Nürnberg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Darmstadt 98 at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Darmstadt 98 had 61% of the ball to Nürnberg's 39%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.21 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 1.17 for Nürnberg.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Nürnberg?

Darmstadt 98 1-1 Nürnberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Nürnberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darmstadt 98 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 50%, draw 24%, Nürnberg 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Darmstadt 98), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Darmstadt 98) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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