Ulm 1846 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ulm 1846 v Fortuna Düsseldorf — Team-Based Signals
Ulm 1846 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
1-5
HT 1-4
Fortuna Düsseldorf
AFK
Ulm 1846 1-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Actual Match Statistics
Fortuna Düsseldorf squeezed past Ulm 1846 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fortuna Düsseldorf as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Ulm 1846 had 45% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 55%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.43 to 2.91 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fortuna Düsseldorf's control.
What was the final score of Ulm 1846 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Ulm 1846 1-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ulm 1846 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ulm 1846 29%, draw 28%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.