Magdeburg 2-2 Schalke 04 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.19
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.6 — our 27% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.13
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1
12%
5.4
X/2
14%
6.41
X/X
14%
5.29
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
12%
3.98
2/X
8%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.8pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 37%
-18% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -30%
1.29/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.88
-39% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
14.5 Crosses 20.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magdeburg
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Schalke 04
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.35 xG 1.64
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
500 Passes 214
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 26
6 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
24.02.2024 Magdeburg Magdeburg 3-0 HT 3-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
16.09.2023 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 4-3 HT 1-2 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magdeburg
2-2
AWAY Schalke 04
1.63 xG 1.16
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 4
365 Passes 255
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Magdeburg vs Schalke 04
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magdeburg and Schalke 04 shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Magdeburg had 57% of the ball to Schalke 04's 43%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.63 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Magdeburg and 2.00 for Schalke 04.

What was the final score of Magdeburg vs Schalke 04?

Magdeburg 2-2 Schalke 04 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magdeburg vs Schalke 04?

Before kick-off our model rated a Magdeburg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Magdeburg 40%, draw 29%, Schalke 04 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Magdeburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Magdeburg) ✓ BTTS Yes
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