Magdeburg 3-0 Schalke 04 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.86
1/2
9%
30.0
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
18%
4.99
X/2
8%
6.85
X/X
11%
5.33
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
15%
4.46
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 34%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
1.43/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.80
-7% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
14.2 Crosses 17.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magdeburg
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Schalke 04
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.88 xG 2.21
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 9
353 Passes 199
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 27
5 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 4
16.09.2023 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 4-3 HT 1-2 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magdeburg
3-0
AWAY Schalke 04
1.82 xG 1.07
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
648 Passes 228
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 26
7 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Magdeburg vs Schalke 04
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magdeburg ran out comfortable winners over Schalke 04 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Magdeburg as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Magdeburg had 70% of the ball to Schalke 04's 30%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.82 to 1.07.

What was the final score of Magdeburg vs Schalke 04?

Magdeburg 3-0 Schalke 04 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magdeburg vs Schalke 04?

Before kick-off our model rated a Magdeburg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Magdeburg 41%, draw 27%, Schalke 04 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Magdeburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Magdeburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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