Osnabrück 1-0 Hannover 96 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 24 Feb 2024

Osnabrück
1-0 HT 0-0
Hannover 96
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Osnabrück vs Hannover 96 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
8.83
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.36 — our 29% vs market 18.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.58
1/2
6%
23.15
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
10%
6.98
X/2
17%
4.94
X/X
15%
5.29
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
14%
2.82
2/X
11%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.7pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.4pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.2pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Osnabrück v Hannover 96 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 49%
-20% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -6%
1.12/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.29
-34% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -13%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 80%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.6 Crosses 17.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Osnabrück vs Hannover 96 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osnabrück
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hannover 96
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.89 xG 1.64
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
245 Passes 398
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 7-0 HT 2-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
01.02.2021 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 1-0 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
25.09.2020 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-1 HT 1-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
23.05.2020 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-4 HT 1-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
20.10.2019 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 0-0 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
14.11.2014 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-0 HT 1-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 HAZ

Osnabrück 1-0 Hannover 96 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osnabrück
1-0
AWAY Hannover 96
0.94 xG 1.70
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
217 Passes 363
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 32
22 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Osnabrück vs Hannover 96
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osnabrück nicked a narrow win over Hannover 96 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 37%) promised a tight game; Osnabrück found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Osnabrück had 41% of the ball to Hannover 96's 59%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.94 to 1.70 — on chances, Hannover 96 could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hannover 96 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Osnabrück and 2.17 for Hannover 96.

What was the final score of Osnabrück vs Hannover 96?

Osnabrück 1-0 Hannover 96 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osnabrück vs Hannover 96?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hannover 96 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück 32%, draw 32%, Hannover 96 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hannover 96) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hannover 96) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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