Braunschweig 1-1 Hertha Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 24 Feb 2024

Braunschweig
1-1 HT 1-0
Hertha Berlin
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Braunschweig vs Hertha Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.13
6+ Goals
14%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.22
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
16%
5.27
X/2
13%
6.17
X/X
8%
5.02
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
15%
4.02
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 9% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Braunschweig v Hertha Berlin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.44/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.98
-15% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -45%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
19.5 Crosses 18.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Braunschweig vs Hertha Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braunschweig
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Hertha Berlin
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
2.54 xG 2.96
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
270 Passes 421
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 3-0 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
07.12.2022 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-0 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig HAZ
31.07.2022 Braunschweig Braunschweig 4-4 HT 0-2 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AFK
11.09.2020 Braunschweig Braunschweig 5-4 HT 3-2 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AFK
20.08.2018 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-2 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AFK
26.04.2014 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 2-0 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL1

Braunschweig 1-1 Hertha Berlin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braunschweig
1-1
AWAY Hertha Berlin
0.51 xG 1.32
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
308 Passes 440
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Braunschweig vs Hertha Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braunschweig and Hertha Berlin couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Braunschweig had 42% of the ball to Hertha Berlin's 58%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.51 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Braunschweig and 2.67 for Hertha Berlin.

What was the final score of Braunschweig vs Hertha Berlin?

Braunschweig 1-1 Hertha Berlin in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braunschweig vs Hertha Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Braunschweig win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Braunschweig 41%, draw 22%, Hertha Berlin 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Braunschweig), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Braunschweig) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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