Orleans 1-3 Rouen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.46
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.28
6+ Goals
7%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
10%
4.62
X/2
12%
6.94
X/X
17%
4.02
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
13%
5.57
2/X
6%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orleans EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Rouen EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.28/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.20
-11% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orleans
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Rouen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
30.08.2024 Rouen Rouen 0-2 HT 0-0 Orleans Orleans FR3
12.02.2024 Orleans Orleans 0-0 HT 0-0 Rouen Rouen FR3
01.09.2023 Rouen Rouen 2-1 HT 1-1 Orleans Orleans FR3
POST-MATCH Orleans vs Rouen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rouen saw off Orleans 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Rouen made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Orleans and 0.67 for Rouen.

What was the final score of Orleans vs Rouen?

Orleans 1-3 Rouen in the France - National League 1 on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orleans vs Rouen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orleans win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Orleans 38%, draw 30%, Rouen 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Orleans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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