Aubagne 0-2 Concarneau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.79
2-3 Goals
46%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
16.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.74
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
13%
4.62
X/2
10%
7.56
X/X
13%
4.31
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
13%
5.91
2/X
5%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.3pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubagne EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Concarneau EU Bookmakers 29%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -9%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.45
+41% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubagne
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Concarneau
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.08.2024 Concarneau Concarneau 0-0 HT 0-0 Aubagne Aubagne FR3
POST-MATCH Aubagne vs Concarneau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Concarneau got the better of Aubagne 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Aubagne at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Aubagne vs Concarneau?

Aubagne 0-2 Concarneau in the France - National League 1 on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubagne vs Concarneau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aubagne win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Aubagne 46%, draw 26%, Concarneau 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aubagne) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aubagne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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