Concarneau 0-0 Aubagne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.78
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.2
6+ Goals
6%
20.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 30% vs market 30.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.65
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.2
X/1
22%
4.18
X/2
10%
7.62
X/X
17%
4.29
2/1
4%
27.0
2/2
7%
6.13
2/X
4%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubagne EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-8% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Concarneau
0-0
AWAY Aubagne
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Aubagne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Concarneau and Aubagne played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Concarneau at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Concarneau had 62% of the ball to Aubagne's 38%, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Aubagne?

Concarneau 0-0 Aubagne in the France - National League 1 on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Aubagne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Concarneau win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 49%, draw 30%, Aubagne 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Concarneau) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Concarneau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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