Sochaux 0-1 Le Mans FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.83
6+ Goals
12%
16.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.04
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
18%
4.69
X/2
13%
6.56
X/X
8%
4.42
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
14%
4.86
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sochaux EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +14%
1.87/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.29
+32% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sochaux
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Le Mans FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.76 xG 0.73
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
201 Passes 352
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Sochaux Sochaux 2-2 HT 2-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
29.09.2023 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
07.02.2020 Sochaux Sochaux 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
30.08.2019 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
13.02.2010 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR1
03.02.2010 Sochaux Sochaux 3-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FRK
POST-MATCH Sochaux vs Le Mans FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC nicked a narrow win over Sochaux 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sochaux at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sochaux and 1.00 for Le Mans FC.

What was the final score of Sochaux vs Le Mans FC?

Sochaux 0-1 Le Mans FC in the France - National League 1 on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sochaux vs Le Mans FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sochaux 41%, draw 25%, Le Mans FC 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sochaux) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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