Chateauroux 2-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.83
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.4
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
14%
4.72
X/2
13%
5.99
X/X
13%
3.87
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
18%
4.73
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.07/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.12
-19% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chateauroux
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.63 xG 1.68
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
397 Passes 306
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2023 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 0-2 HT 0-2 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
09.09.2022 Chateauroux Chateauroux 0-2 HT 0-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
25.02.2022 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-1 HT 0-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
17.09.2021 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 1-0 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
09.02.2018 Chateauroux Chateauroux 3-1 HT 2-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR2
15.09.2017 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 3-0 HT 3-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chateauroux
2-0
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Bourg en Bresse 01
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chateauroux got the better of Bourg en Bresse 01 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Chateauroux made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Chateauroux had 42% of the ball to Bourg en Bresse 01's 58%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bourg en Bresse 01 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chateauroux and 1.33 for Bourg en Bresse 01.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Chateauroux 2-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 in the France - National League 1 on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chateauroux win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 38%, draw 26%, Bourg en Bresse 01 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chateauroux), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chateauroux) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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