Boulogne 2-0 Quevilly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.42
6+ Goals
10%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.18
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
14.0
X/1
11%
4.6
X/2
7%
6.25
X/X
16%
4.12
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
14%
4.89
2/X
7%
14.3
Value flag · 1/X at 14.0 — our 11% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.6pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.2pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boulogne EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Quevilly EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +26%
1.02/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.09
-29% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boulogne
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Quevilly
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
15.05.2021 Boulogne Boulogne 1-0 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR3
21.08.2020 Quevilly Quevilly 0-1 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
18.10.2019 Boulogne Boulogne 2-0 HT 1-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR3
23.03.2010 Quevilly Quevilly 3-1 HT 2-1 Boulogne Boulogne FRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boulogne
2-0
AWAY Quevilly
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boulogne vs Quevilly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boulogne beat Quevilly 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 29%) promised a tight game; Boulogne found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Boulogne had 49% of the ball to Quevilly's 51%, shots finished 7-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Boulogne had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Boulogne and 0.75 for Quevilly.

What was the final score of Boulogne vs Quevilly?

Boulogne 2-0 Quevilly in the France - National League 1 on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boulogne vs Quevilly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boulogne win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Boulogne 38%, draw 33%, Quevilly 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boulogne), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boulogne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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