Villefranche 1-1 Paris 13 Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.98
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
17%
4.41
X/2
10%
6.7
X/X
11%
4.13
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
15%
5.33
2/X
7%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.25/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.72
-13% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villefranche
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2023 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 1-1 HT 1-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
26.08.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 2-0 HT 0-0 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villefranche
1-1
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Paris 13 Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villefranche and Paris 13 Atletico couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Villefranche at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Villefranche had 52% of the ball to Paris 13 Atletico's 48%, shots finished 7-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Villefranche had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Villefranche and 0.50 for Paris 13 Atletico.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Paris 13 Atletico?

Villefranche 1-1 Paris 13 Atletico in the France - National League 1 on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Paris 13 Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villefranche win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 43%, draw 24%, Paris 13 Atletico 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Villefranche), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villefranche) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
30 Aug 2024
20:30 Chateauroux vs Bourg en Bresse 01 Analysis →
20:30 Sochaux vs Le Mans FC Analysis →
20:30 Boulogne vs Quevilly Analysis →
20:30 Valenciennes vs Nimes Analysis →
20:30 Concarneau vs Aubagne Analysis →
20:30 Rouen vs Orleans Analysis →