Valenciennes 2-0 Nimes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.45
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.07
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
15%
4.54
X/2
12%
6.59
X/X
14%
4.03
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
12%
5.19
2/X
6%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Nimes EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -43%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valenciennes
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nimes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.12 xG 1.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
311 Passes 314
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2023 Nimes Nimes 3-3 HT 1-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
02.09.2022 Valenciennes Valenciennes 3-2 HT 1-1 Nimes Nimes FR2
28.01.2022 Nimes Nimes 2-1 HT 2-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
07.08.2021 Valenciennes Valenciennes 0-3 HT 0-0 Nimes Nimes FR2
30.03.2018 Nimes Nimes 1-0 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
28.10.2017 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-2 HT 1-1 Nimes Nimes FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valenciennes
2-0
AWAY Nimes
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Valenciennes vs Nimes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valenciennes saw off Nimes 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valenciennes as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Valenciennes had 44% of the ball to Nimes's 56%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nimes led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Valenciennes and 2.17 for Nimes.

What was the final score of Valenciennes vs Nimes?

Valenciennes 2-0 Nimes in the France - National League 1 on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valenciennes vs Nimes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valenciennes win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Valenciennes 43%, draw 26%, Nimes 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valenciennes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valenciennes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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