Balzan FC 0-3 Marsaxlokk FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
50%
Away Win
54%
-4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Balzan FC
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
21.01.2024 Balzan FC Balzan FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
29.01.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
11.09.2022 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Balzan FC
0-3
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Balzan FC vs Marsaxlokk FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsaxlokk FC swept aside Balzan FC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Marsaxlokk FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Balzan FC had 47% of the ball to Marsaxlokk FC's 53%, shots finished 6-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Balzan FC and 0.75 for Marsaxlokk FC.

What was the final score of Balzan FC vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Balzan FC 0-3 Marsaxlokk FC in the MALTP on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balzan FC vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsaxlokk FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Balzan FC 25%, draw 26%, Marsaxlokk FC 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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