Al Hilal Riyadh 4-0 Al Akhdoud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.22
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.14
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.43
2-3 Goals
39%
2.24
4-5 Goals
29%
2.3
6+ Goals
14%
3.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
78%
-12.8pp
18%
Draw
13%
+4.4pp
18%
Away Win
9%
+8.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 12%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.66/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.50
+13% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +14%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
479 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 79%
40.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
25.6 Crosses 10.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Akhdoud
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.25 xG 0.43
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
530 Passes 177
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
38 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 0-3 HT 0-3 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
02.04.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
07.10.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
4-0
AWAY Al Akhdoud
3.80 xG 0.10
68% Ball Possession 32%
22 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 2
589 Passes 246
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
54 Box Touches 3
27 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Akhdoud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh swept aside Al Akhdoud 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 68% of the ball to Al Akhdoud's 32%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 3.80 to 0.10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 0.00 for Al Akhdoud.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Akhdoud?

Al Hilal Riyadh 4-0 Al Akhdoud in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Akhdoud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 65%, draw 18%, Al Akhdoud 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5
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