Al Ettifaq 3-1 Al Shabab Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+2.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.7pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -22%
1.24/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.14
-10% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
17.5 Crosses 19.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ettifaq
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.85 xG 1.43
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
253 Passes 432
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
23.05.2024 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
07.12.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
14.05.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
30.12.2022 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
14.01.2022 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 2-2 HT 2-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ettifaq
3-1
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
1.69 xG 3.89
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 30
7 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
192 Passes 489
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 49
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Ettifaq vs Al Shabab Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ettifaq saw off Al Shabab Riyadh 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Shabab Riyadh at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Ettifaq had 32% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 68%, shots finished 10-30, expected goals 1.69 to 3.89 — on chances, Al Shabab Riyadh could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ettifaq had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Ettifaq and 0.83 for Al Shabab Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Ettifaq vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Al Ettifaq 3-1 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ettifaq vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Ettifaq 32%, draw 27%, Al Shabab Riyadh 41%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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