AFC Fylde 0-1 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / +68%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Fylde
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Southport
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2025 Southport Southport 2-3 HT 0-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İCON
14.01.2023 Southport Southport 1-2 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İCON
29.08.2022 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-0 HT 1-0 Southport Southport İCON
15.04.2022 Southport Southport 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İCON
30.08.2021 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-1 HT 1-1 Southport Southport İCON
11.01.2020 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 4-1 HT 3-1 Southport Southport FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Fylde
0-1
AWAY Southport
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 6
13 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AFC Fylde vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southport edged past AFC Fylde 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Fylde at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Fylde had 62% of the ball to Southport's 38%, shots finished 22-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Fylde had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AFC Fylde and 0.83 for Southport.

What was the final score of AFC Fylde vs Southport?

AFC Fylde 0-1 Southport in the England - FA Cup on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Fylde vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split AFC Fylde 45%, draw 27%, Southport 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AFC Fylde) ✗ BTTS Yes
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