Leeds United vs Arsenal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Leeds United v Arsenal — Team-Based Signals
Leeds United vs Arsenal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Leeds United 0-4 Arsenal — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal ran out comfortable winners over Leeds United 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.76, about 57%.
On the day, Arsenal saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 3-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal led the recent series with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Leeds United against 3.00 for Arsenal.
Leeds United vs Arsenal Result & Final Score
Leeds United 0-4 Arsenal in the England - Premier League on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Leeds United vs Arsenal Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 19%, draw 22%, Arsenal 59%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.