Ried 3-0 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - ÖFB Cup, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.74
Over 2.5
56%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.76
No
40%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.83
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
17.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.26
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
29.5
1/X
10%
13.25
X/1
13%
6.05
X/2
10%
5.49
X/X
10%
4.28
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
17%
3.66
2/X
7%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.5 — our 11% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
54%
-9.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
46%
+9.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
53%
+7.4pp
40%
BTTS No
47%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ried EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ried
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.31 xG 1.78
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
193 Passes 350
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.12.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-2 HT 1-1 Ried Ried AVU
26.10.2025 Ried Ried 0-2 HT 0-2 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
05.04.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-1 HT 1-0 Ried Ried AUK
15.10.2022 Ried Ried 1-0 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
24.07.2022 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-0 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AVU
28.11.2021 Ried Ried 2-2 HT 1-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
POST-MATCH Ried vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ried swept aside Rapid Wien 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Ried found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Wien led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ried and 1.33 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of Ried vs Rapid Wien?

Ried 3-0 Rapid Wien in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ried vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ried 35%, draw 27%, Rapid Wien 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Rapid Wien), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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