Ried 0-2 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 26 Oct 2025

Ried
0-2 HT 0-2
Rapid Wien
📅26/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Ried vs Rapid Wien Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.23
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 29% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.11
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
15%
5.99
X/2
19%
5.48
X/X
13%
4.49
2/1
5%
30.0
2/2
15%
3.58
2/X
4%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+5.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ried v Rapid Wien — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ried EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -26%
1.30/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.65
-5% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
278 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 72%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
16.8 Crosses 18.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Ried vs Rapid Wien Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ried
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rapid Wien
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.79 xG 1.94
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
190 Passes 397
63% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 36
8 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.04.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-1 HT 1-0 Ried Ried AUK
15.10.2022 Ried Ried 1-0 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
24.07.2022 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-0 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AVU
28.11.2021 Ried Ried 2-2 HT 1-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
22.08.2021 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-0 HT 1-0 Ried Ried AVU
27.02.2021 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-0 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AVU

Ried 0-2 Rapid Wien — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ried
0-2
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.38 xG 1.22
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
205 Passes 145
71% Pass Accuracy 60%
27 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ried vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien beat Ried 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rapid Wien as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ried had 54% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 46%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.38 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Wien led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ried and 1.50 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of Ried vs Rapid Wien?

Ried 0-2 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ried vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ried 31%, draw 26%, Rapid Wien 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rapid Wien) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✗ BTTS Yes
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