Austria Wien 0-3 Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
47%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.94
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
24.85
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
12%
6.17
X/2
11%
5.6
X/X
12%
5.15
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
25%
3.39
2/X
8%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.85 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
36%
-8.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
47%
Away Win
39%
+8.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.4pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg EU Bookmakers 43%
+12% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +20%
1.70/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.27
+30% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
334 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
21.7 Crosses 13.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Wien
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Salzburg
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.94 xG 1.88
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
254 Passes 354
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Salzburg Salzburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
20.04.2025 Austria Wien Austria Wien 1-3 HT 1-2 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
22.02.2025 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
28.09.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
12.11.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
13.08.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Wien
0-3
AWAY Salzburg
1.04 xG 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 1
388 Passes 303
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
51 Box Touches 10
47 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Austria Wien vs Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg swept aside Austria Wien 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Austria Wien had 57% of the ball to Salzburg's 43%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.04 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Austria Wien and 1.67 for Salzburg.

What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Salzburg?

Austria Wien 0-3 Salzburg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 27%, draw 26%, Salzburg 47%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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