Salzburg 2-0 Austria Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 28 Sep 2024

Salzburg
2-0 HT 1-0
Austria Wien
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Salzburg vs Austria Wien Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.45
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.17
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.43
No
53%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
8.66
2-3 Goals
36%
2.39
4-5 Goals
29%
2.36
6+ Goals
15%
3.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.7
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
16.3
X/1
17%
4.16
X/2
6%
13.6
X/X
9%
8.58
2/1
5%
17.2
2/2
8%
8.28
2/X
4%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
64%
+0.8pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.7pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+1.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+11.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-11.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
66%
-18.4pp
53%
BTTS No
34%
+18.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Salzburg v Austria Wien — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
2.22/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.08
+20% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
395 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 70%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
18.2 Crosses 16.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

Salzburg vs Austria Wien Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Austria Wien
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.10 xG 1.24
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
296 Passes 224
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
25 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
13.08.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
03.06.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 1-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
09.04.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 3-3 HT 2-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
16.10.2022 Austria Wien Austria Wien 1-3 HT 1-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
22.07.2022 Salzburg Salzburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU

Salzburg 2-0 Austria Wien — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
2-0
AWAY Austria Wien
1.93 xG 0.75
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
581 Passes 226
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
47 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Austria Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg beat Austria Wien 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Salzburg had 68% of the ball to Austria Wien's 32%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.93 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Salzburg and 0.83 for Austria Wien.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Austria Wien?

Salzburg 2-0 Austria Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Austria Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 65%, draw 17%, Austria Wien 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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