Rapid Wien 1-1 LASK Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 28 Sep 2024

Rapid Wien
1-1 HT 1-0
LASK Linz
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Rapid Wien vs LASK Linz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.38
Over 2.5
47%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.5
No
54%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
5.04
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.75
6+ Goals
10%
7.19
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.04 — our 29% vs market 15.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.39
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
17%
4.61
X/2 EV+ ✗
16%
8.33
X/X
9%
5.78
2/1
7%
20.95
2/2
9%
5.43
2/X
7%
13.35
Value flag · X/2 at 8.33 — our 16% vs market 8.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
62%
-16.6pp
54%
BTTS No
38%
+16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rapid Wien v LASK Linz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.84/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.61
-6% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 69%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
21.0 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Rapid Wien vs LASK Linz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien
0W-4D-2L
AWAY LASK Linz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.82 xG 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
290 Passes 306
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.04.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 5-0 HT 3-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
15.03.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
29.10.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-3 HT 1-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
28.07.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
21.05.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-1 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
23.04.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 3-1 HT 2-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU

Rapid Wien 1-1 LASK Linz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien
1-1
AWAY LASK Linz
1.11 xG 0.63
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
462 Passes 315
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 14
30 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien vs LASK Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien and LASK Linz shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Rapid Wien at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Rapid Wien had 58% of the ball to LASK Linz's 42%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 1.11 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LASK Linz led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rapid Wien and 2.17 for LASK Linz.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien vs LASK Linz?

Rapid Wien 1-1 LASK Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien vs LASK Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien 48%, draw 22%, LASK Linz 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rapid Wien), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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