LASK Linz 5-0 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 29% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.9
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
14%
4.62
X/2
16%
6.86
X/X
14%
4.54
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.05
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-9.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+8.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -18%
1.66/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.85
+1% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
288 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 73%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
19.5 Crosses 17.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LASK Linz
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.62 xG 1.77
52% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
323 Passes 278
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
29.10.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-3 HT 1-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
28.07.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
21.05.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-1 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
23.04.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 3-1 HT 2-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
06.11.2022 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-0 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LASK Linz
5-0
AWAY Rapid Wien
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 9
POST-MATCH LASK Linz vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz ran out comfortable winners over Rapid Wien 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 37% — and on the day LASK Linz made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, LASK Linz had 51% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 49%, shots finished 13-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for LASK Linz and 1.17 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of LASK Linz vs Rapid Wien?

LASK Linz 5-0 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LASK Linz vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split LASK Linz 36%, draw 28%, Rapid Wien 37%. The final score 5-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✗ Under 2.5
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