Hartberg 3-2 Austria Klagenfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 28 Apr 2024

Hartberg
3-2 HT 3-0
Austria Klagenfurt
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Hartberg vs Austria Klagenfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 29% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.84
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
14%
4.83
X/2
11%
7.04
X/X
13%
4.88
2/1
5%
24.0
2/2
18%
4.84
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hartberg v Austria Klagenfurt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartberg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.59/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.65
-8% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
19.6 Crosses 16.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Hartberg vs Austria Klagenfurt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartberg
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.36 xG 1.73
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
368 Passes 283
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 2-2 HT 1-2 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
04.12.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 1-1 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
27.08.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 0-3 HT 0-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
12.03.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 1-0 HT 1-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
02.10.2022 Hartberg Hartberg 2-3 HT 1-2 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
06.11.2021 Hartberg Hartberg 0-2 HT 0-2 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU

Hartberg 3-2 Austria Klagenfurt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartberg
3-2
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Hartberg vs Austria Klagenfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartberg nicked a narrow win over Austria Klagenfurt 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Hartberg found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hartberg had 50% of the ball to Austria Klagenfurt's 50%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Klagenfurt led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hartberg and 2.00 for Austria Klagenfurt.

What was the final score of Hartberg vs Austria Klagenfurt?

Hartberg 3-2 Austria Klagenfurt in the Austria - Bundesliga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Austria Klagenfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartberg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 40%, draw 25%, Austria Klagenfurt 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartberg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartberg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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