Sturm Graz 1-3 Wolfsberger AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.29
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
14.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.28
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
16%
5.24
X/2
13%
6.43
X/X
12%
4.53
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
14%
4.5
2/X
4%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.48/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.23
-9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 76%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
22.1 Crosses 15.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.35 xG 1.16
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
326 Passes 233
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1-1 HT 1-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
30.03.2025 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-1 HT 1-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
15.02.2025 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 3-0 HT 2-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
22.09.2024 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0-3 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
03.03.2024 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 4-0 HT 0-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
08.10.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-2 HT 1-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz
1-3
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
1.00 xG 0.82
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 2
436 Passes 203
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
44 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsberger AC got the better of Sturm Graz 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Sturm Graz at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sturm Graz had 65% of the ball to Wolfsberger AC's 35%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.00 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.50 for Wolfsberger AC.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC?

Sturm Graz 1-3 Wolfsberger AC in the Austria - Bundesliga on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 43%, draw 24%, Wolfsberger AC 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sturm Graz), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sturm Graz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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