Sturm Graz 0-3 Wolfsberger AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 22 Sep 2024

Sturm Graz
0-3
Wolfsberger AC
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.16
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
15%
4.37
X/2
10%
9.6
X/X
14%
5.88
2/1 EV+
8%
20.7
2/2
13%
6.44
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sturm Graz v Wolfsberger AC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +27%
1.93/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.47
+20% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +45%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 72%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
19.0 Crosses 14.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 1.47
52% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
262 Passes 227
67% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 4-0 HT 0-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
08.10.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-2 HT 1-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
16.10.2022 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3-2 HT 0-1 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
23.07.2022 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-1 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
15.05.2022 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1-4 HT 0-3 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
03.04.2022 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 0-2 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU

Sturm Graz 0-3 Wolfsberger AC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz
0-3
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
63% Ball Possession 37%
6 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsberger AC swept aside Sturm Graz 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sturm Graz at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sturm Graz had 63% of the ball to Wolfsberger AC's 37%, shots finished 6-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.33 for Wolfsberger AC.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC?

Sturm Graz 0-3 Wolfsberger AC in the Austria - Bundesliga on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 48%, draw 24%, Wolfsberger AC 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sturm Graz), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sturm Graz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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