Rapid Wien 2-1 Austria Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 22 Sep 2024

Rapid Wien
2-1 HT 1-1
Austria Wien
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Rapid Wien vs Austria Wien Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.51
Over 2.5
49%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.5
No
56%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.49
2-3 Goals
41%
2.01
4-5 Goals
21%
2.66
6+ Goals
12%
6.42
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.49 — our 26% vs market 13.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.17
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
16%
4.42
X/2
11%
9.3
X/X
10%
6.23
2/1
8%
20.0
2/2
10%
6.05
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
36%
+15.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
64%
-15.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
62%
-18.7pp
56%
BTTS No
38%
+18.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rapid Wien v Austria Wien — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.72/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.58
-3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
297 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 73%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
21.7 Crosses 16.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9

Rapid Wien vs Austria Wien Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Austria Wien
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.50 xG 1.62
50% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
258 Passes 254
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.02.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-0 HT 3-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
01.10.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
14.05.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 3-1 HT 2-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
16.04.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-3 HT 2-2 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
19.03.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-0 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
09.10.2022 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-2 HT 0-2 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU

Rapid Wien 2-1 Austria Wien — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien
2-1
AWAY Austria Wien
2.14 xG 1.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
346 Passes 243
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 34
20 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien vs Austria Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien nicked a narrow win over Austria Wien 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rapid Wien as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rapid Wien had 56% of the ball to Austria Wien's 44%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.14 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rapid Wien and 1.67 for Austria Wien.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien vs Austria Wien?

Rapid Wien 2-1 Austria Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien vs Austria Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien 50%, draw 22%, Austria Wien 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rapid Wien) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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