Wolfsberger AC 1-1 Sturm Graz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.72
6+ Goals
8%
15.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.39
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
14%
6.34
X/2
11%
5.39
X/X
17%
4.55
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
16%
3.41
2/X
5%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.0pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.6pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.19/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.52
+1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
252 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 73%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
17.1 Crosses 18.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsberger AC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sturm Graz
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.40 xG 1.73
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
216 Passes 275
64% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 3-0 HT 2-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
22.09.2024 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0-3 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
03.03.2024 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 4-0 HT 0-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
08.10.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-2 HT 1-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
16.10.2022 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3-2 HT 0-1 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
23.07.2022 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-1 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsberger AC
1-1
AWAY Sturm Graz
1.14 xG 0.87
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 8
200 Passes 340
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsberger AC and Sturm Graz shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Wolfsberger AC had 42% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 58%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.14 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wolfsberger AC and 1.67 for Sturm Graz.

What was the final score of Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?

Wolfsberger AC 1-1 Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Wolfsberger AC 33%, draw 31%, Sturm Graz 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sturm Graz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sturm Graz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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