Rapid Wien 0-2 Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 28% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.34
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.3
X/1
18%
5.61
X/2
13%
6.48
X/X
13%
4.99
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
15%
4.18
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +32%
1.67/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.85
+6% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +76%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
17.0 Crosses 12.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Salzburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.82 xG 1.44
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 Passes 361
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 2-2 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
01.09.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-2 HT 2-2 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
05.05.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-0 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
07.04.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
09.12.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
03.09.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 2-0 HT 2-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien
0-2
AWAY Salzburg
1.01 xG 0.81
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
369 Passes 376
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien vs Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg beat Rapid Wien 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Salzburg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rapid Wien had 50% of the ball to Salzburg's 50%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.01 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rapid Wien and 1.33 for Salzburg.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien vs Salzburg?

Rapid Wien 0-2 Salzburg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien vs Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien 39%, draw 28%, Salzburg 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Rapid Wien), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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