Salzburg 2-2 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 28% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.05
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
17%
5.05
X/2
10%
6.73
X/X
12%
4.84
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
15%
4.58
2/X
9%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.1pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -14%
2.03/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.72
+9% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
12.8 Crosses 16.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.37 xG 1.73
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 Passes 250
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-2 HT 2-2 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
05.05.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-0 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
07.04.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
09.12.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
03.09.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 2-0 HT 2-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
07.05.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
2-2
AWAY Rapid Wien
2.45 xG 1.69
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 11
313 Passes 331
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 35
10 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg and Rapid Wien shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Salzburg at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Salzburg had 48% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 52%, shots finished 20-17, expected goals 2.45 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Salzburg and 1.17 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Rapid Wien?

Salzburg 2-2 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 42%, draw 28%, Rapid Wien 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Salzburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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