Rapid Wien 2-0 Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
23%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.03
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.12 — our 26% vs market 14.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
6.16
1/2
7%
20.85
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
8%
9.35
X/2
17%
4.5
X/X
10%
5.78
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.22
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
23%
+10.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-11.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg EU Bookmakers 57%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.29/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.16
+38% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
248 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 74%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
20.6 Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Salzburg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.34 xG 1.57
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 Passes 296
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
09.12.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
03.09.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 2-0 HT 2-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
07.05.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
26.04.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-1 HT 1-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
05.03.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-4 HT 1-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien
2-0
AWAY Salzburg
1.96 xG 0.80
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
193 Passes 400
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien vs Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien got the better of Salzburg 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Salzburg at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Rapid Wien had 38% of the ball to Salzburg's 62%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 1.96 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rapid Wien and 1.83 for Salzburg.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien vs Salzburg?

Rapid Wien 2-0 Salzburg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien vs Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien 33%, draw 25%, Salzburg 42%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Salzburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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