Sturm Graz vs Hartberg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sturm Graz v Hartberg — Team-Based Signals
Sturm Graz vs Hartberg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Hartberg
AVU
1-2
HT 0-2
Sturm Graz
AVU
0-0
HT 0-0
Hartberg
AVU
3-0
HT 0-0
Hartberg
AVU
Sturm Graz 1-1 Hartberg — Actual Match Statistics
Sturm Graz and Hartberg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sturm Graz at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Sturm Graz had 38% of the ball to Hartberg's 62%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.84 to 2.16.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sturm Graz and 0.67 for Hartberg.
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Hartberg?
Sturm Graz 1-1 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Hartberg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 59%, draw 21%, Hartberg 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.