Austria Klagenfurt 0-2 LASK Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
21%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.58
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.45 — our 29% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.05
1/2
7%
21.85
1/X
9%
13.65
X/1
11%
8.79
X/2
17%
4.42
X/X
13%
5.47
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.32
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-9.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 56%
-15% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -19%
1.29/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.20
-11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -8%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
267 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 76%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
17.9 Crosses 18.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
0W-2D-4L
AWAY LASK Linz
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.80 xG 1.72
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
212 Passes 382
63% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-0 HT 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
11.02.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-2 HT 1-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
16.09.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 1-3 HT 0-3 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
07.05.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 1-1 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
30.04.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 4-0 HT 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
05.02.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-0 HT 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
0-2
AWAY LASK Linz
1.07 xG 1.45
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
334 Passes 361
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Austria Klagenfurt vs LASK Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz beat Austria Klagenfurt 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had LASK Linz as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Austria Klagenfurt had 48% of the ball to LASK Linz's 52%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.07 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LASK Linz led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Austria Klagenfurt and 2.00 for LASK Linz.

What was the final score of Austria Klagenfurt vs LASK Linz?

Austria Klagenfurt 0-2 LASK Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Klagenfurt vs LASK Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated an LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Austria Klagenfurt 29%, draw 28%, LASK Linz 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LASK Linz), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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