Wolfsberger AC 3-0 Sturm Graz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 15 Feb 2025

Wolfsberger AC
3-0 HT 2-0
Sturm Graz
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.19
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.74
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.74 — our 23% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.46
1/2
10%
26.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
11%
6.26
X/2
10%
5.12
X/X
16%
4.55
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
16%
3.27
2/X
6%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.4pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wolfsberger AC v Sturm Graz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
1.04/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.50
-19% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
277 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 70%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
16.7 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsberger AC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sturm Graz
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.44 xG 1.56
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
210 Passes 269
63% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0-3 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
03.03.2024 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 4-0 HT 0-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
08.10.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-2 HT 1-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
16.10.2022 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3-2 HT 0-1 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
23.07.2022 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-1 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
15.05.2022 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1-4 HT 0-3 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU

Wolfsberger AC 3-0 Sturm Graz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsberger AC
3-0
AWAY Sturm Graz
1.93 xG 1.56
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 6
224 Passes 386
67% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsberger AC swept aside Sturm Graz 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Wolfsberger AC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wolfsberger AC had 39% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 61%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.93 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Wolfsberger AC and 1.83 for Sturm Graz.

What was the final score of Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?

Wolfsberger AC 3-0 Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Wolfsberger AC 33%, draw 31%, Sturm Graz 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sturm Graz), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sturm Graz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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