Salzburg 1-1 Swarovski Tirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 15 Feb 2025

Salzburg
1-1
Swarovski Tirol
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Salzburg vs Swarovski Tirol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.75
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.3
6+ Goals
12%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 27% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.68
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
18.3
X/1
19%
3.76
X/2
9%
14.55
X/X
11%
6.25
2/1
8%
23.0
2/2
7%
12.75
2/X
7%
21.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
67%
-11.6pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.3pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Salzburg v Swarovski Tirol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
2.19/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.19
+11% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 66%
34.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
18.7 Crosses 13.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Salzburg vs Swarovski Tirol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.09 xG 0.56
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
415 Passes 159
80% Pass Accuracy 61%
27 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.10.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVK
22.09.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-0 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
04.11.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-2 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
06.08.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 3-0 HT 0-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
19.02.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-3 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
03.09.2022 Salzburg Salzburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Swarovski Tirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg and Swarovski Tirol couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Salzburg at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Salzburg and 0.17 for Swarovski Tirol.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Swarovski Tirol?

Salzburg 1-1 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - Bundesliga on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Swarovski Tirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 55%, draw 24%, Swarovski Tirol 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Salzburg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025
19:00 Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz Analysis →
19:00 Blau-Weiss Linz vs Rheindorf Altach Analysis →