Salzburg 3-0 Swarovski Tirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - ÖFB Cup, 30 Oct 2024

Salzburg
3-0 HT 1-0
Swarovski Tirol
📅30/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Austria - ÖFB Cup – 2025/2026

Salzburg vs Swarovski Tirol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.29
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
30%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.72
2-3 Goals
37%
2.15
4-5 Goals
27%
2.49
6+ Goals
17%
5.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.46
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
22.3
X/1
12%
3.64
X/2 EV+ ✗
12%
20.15
X/X
11%
9.39
2/1
8%
19.8
2/2
10%
13.75
2/X
4%
21.85
Value flag · X/2 at 20.15 — our 12% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
73%
-23.7pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.5pp
30%
Away Win
11%
+19.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Salzburg v Swarovski Tirol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
408 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Salzburg vs Swarovski Tirol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.33 xG 0.61
63% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
412 Passes 184
79% Pass Accuracy 63%
29 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-0 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
04.11.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-2 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
06.08.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 3-0 HT 0-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
19.02.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-3 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
03.09.2022 Salzburg Salzburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
11.12.2021 Salzburg Salzburg 5-0 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU

Salzburg 3-0 Swarovski Tirol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
3-0
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
76% Ball Possession 24%
18 Total Shots 3
12 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Swarovski Tirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg cruised past Swarovski Tirol 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Salzburg had 76% of the ball to Swarovski Tirol's 24%, shots finished 18-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Salzburg and 0.17 for Swarovski Tirol.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Swarovski Tirol?

Salzburg 3-0 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Swarovski Tirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 49%, draw 21%, Swarovski Tirol 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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