Bregenz 2-1 Grazer AK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - ÖFB Cup, 30 Oct 2024

Bregenz
2-1 HT 1-0
Grazer AK
📅30/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Austria - ÖFB Cup – 2024/2025

Bregenz vs Grazer AK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
17%
9.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.61
1/2
4%
22.3
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
13.8
X/1
9%
9.3
X/2
16%
4.33
X/X
6%
5.26
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
35%
2.26
2/X
6%
13.15
Value flag · 1/X at 13.8 — our 9% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.6pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.8pp
54%
Away Win
53%
+1.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bregenz v Grazer AK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bregenz EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Bregenz vs Grazer AK Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bregenz
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Grazer AK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Bregenz Bregenz 0-3 HT 0-2 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
07.10.2023 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-0 HT 0-0 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
26.05.2005 Bregenz Bregenz 0-1 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
12.03.2005 Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-0 HT 1-0 Bregenz Bregenz AVU
24.10.2004 Grazer AK Grazer AK 3-0 HT 1-0 Bregenz Bregenz AVU
POST-MATCH Bregenz vs Grazer AK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bregenz nicked a narrow win over Grazer AK 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Grazer AK at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Grazer AK led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Bregenz and 2.00 for Grazer AK.

What was the final score of Bregenz vs Grazer AK?

Bregenz 2-1 Grazer AK in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bregenz vs Grazer AK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grazer AK win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Bregenz 25%, draw 21%, Grazer AK 54%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grazer AK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grazer AK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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