Sturm Graz 2-1 Blau-Weiss Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - ÖFB Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
37%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
3.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.18
6+ Goals
12%
10.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.18 — our 29% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.93
1/2 EV+ ✗
14%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.65
X/1
12%
3.82
X/2
11%
11.6
X/X
9%
5.63
2/1
5%
22.7
2/2
12%
9.0
2/X
7%
16.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 14% vs market 1.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
61%
-21.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
37%
Away Win
16%
+20.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 20%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.53 xG 1.43
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
366 Passes 264
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2024 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-2 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
21.03.2024 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0-2 HT 0-1 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz HAZ
03.12.2023 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-1 HT 1-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
26.08.2023 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 4-1 HT 2-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
12.01.2018 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 2-2 HT 1-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz
2-1
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiss Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz edged past Blau-Weiss Linz 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Sturm Graz made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Sturm Graz had 62% of the ball to Blau-Weiss Linz's 38%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.40 for Blau-Weiss Linz.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Sturm Graz 2-1 Blau-Weiss Linz in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 40%, draw 23%, Blau-Weiss Linz 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sturm Graz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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