Sturm Graz 0-2 Blau-Weiss Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.72
2-3 Goals
36%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
7.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.1pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 34%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.64/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+2% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
266 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 69%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 1.11
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
404 Passes 286
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2023 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-1 HT 1-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
26.08.2023 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 4-1 HT 2-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
12.01.2018 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 2-2 HT 1-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz HAZ
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiss Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blau-Weiss Linz saw off Sturm Graz 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sturm Graz at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.33 for Blau-Weiss Linz.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Sturm Graz 0-2 Blau-Weiss Linz in the Friendlies on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 43%, draw 26%, Blau-Weiss Linz 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sturm Graz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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