Austria Wien 1-3 Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 20 Apr 2025

Austria Wien
1-3 HT 1-2
Salzburg
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Austria Wien vs Salzburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
37%
3.18
Away
30%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.26
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.78
6+ Goals
8%
15.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.72
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X EV+ ✗
13%
13.4
X/1
12%
6.6
X/2
11%
5.17
X/X
17%
4.55
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
13%
3.22
2/X
7%
12.95
Value flag · 1/X at 13.4 — our 13% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.9pp
37%
Draw
28%
+8.8pp
30%
Away Win
41%
-10.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Austria Wien v Salzburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +22%
1.40/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.78
+4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +56%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
265 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
21.3 Crosses 10.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.4

Austria Wien vs Salzburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Wien
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Salzburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.21 xG 1.85
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
262 Passes 313
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.02.2025 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
28.09.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
12.11.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
13.08.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
03.06.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 1-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
09.04.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 3-3 HT 2-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU

Austria Wien 1-3 Salzburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Wien
1-3
AWAY Salzburg
1.77 xG 2.06
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
254 Passes 327
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 16
38 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Austria Wien vs Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg beat Austria Wien 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (33% / 37% / 30%) promised a tight game; Salzburg found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Austria Wien had 49% of the ball to Salzburg's 51%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.77 to 2.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Austria Wien and 1.50 for Salzburg.

What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Salzburg?

Austria Wien 1-3 Salzburg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 33%, draw 37%, Salzburg 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5
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