Wolfsberger AC 5-1 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
29%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 30% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.91
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
12%
5.99
X/2
12%
5.75
X/X
12%
4.8
2/1
11%
28.0
2/2
10%
3.66
2/X
5%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
36%
+10.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
30%
Away Win
37%
-7.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.6pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -22%
1.18/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.41
-2% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
17.7 Crosses 19.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsberger AC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.53 xG 1.39
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
281 Passes 350
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-3 HT 1-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
14.09.2024 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
11.02.2024 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 0-2 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
17.09.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-3 HT 2-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
26.02.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-2 HT 0-2 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
03.02.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-3 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsberger AC
5-1
AWAY Rapid Wien
4.49 xG 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
26 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
341 Passes 277
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
46 Box Touches 8
32 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wolfsberger AC vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsberger AC ran out comfortable winners over Rapid Wien 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wolfsberger AC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wolfsberger AC had 54% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 46%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 4.49 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Wien led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wolfsberger AC and 2.00 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of Wolfsberger AC vs Rapid Wien?

Wolfsberger AC 5-1 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsberger AC vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsberger AC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Wolfsberger AC 46%, draw 25%, Rapid Wien 30%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsberger AC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsberger AC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2025
15:30 Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiss Linz Analysis →
18:00 Austria Wien vs Salzburg Analysis →