Salzburg 2-0 Austria Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 26% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.38
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
12%
4.51
X/2
11%
8.61
X/X
10%
5.47
2/1
10%
22.0
2/2
13%
6.41
2/X
5%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
2.06/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.49
-8% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.9 Crosses 17.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Austria Wien
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.73 xG 1.18
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 Passes 262
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2025 Austria Wien Austria Wien 1-3 HT 1-2 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
22.02.2025 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
28.09.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
12.11.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
13.08.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
03.06.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 1-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
2-0
AWAY Austria Wien
2.02 xG 0.44
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
431 Passes 218
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 19
38 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Austria Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg got the better of Austria Wien 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Salzburg had 63% of the ball to Austria Wien's 37%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.02 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Salzburg and 0.33 for Austria Wien.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Austria Wien?

Salzburg 2-0 Austria Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Austria Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 44%, draw 23%, Austria Wien 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ BTTS No
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