Blau-Weiss Linz vs Sturm Graz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Blau-Weiss Linz v Sturm Graz — Team-Based Signals
Blau-Weiss Linz vs Sturm Graz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Sturm Graz
AVU
Blau-Weiss Linz 0-1 Sturm Graz — Actual Match Statistics
Sturm Graz edged past Blau-Weiss Linz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 37% / 35% — and on the day Sturm Graz made the difference. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.
On the day, Blau-Weiss Linz had 51% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 49%, shots finished 6-21, expected goals 0.42 to 2.54 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sturm Graz's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Blau-Weiss Linz and 1.50 for Sturm Graz.
What was the final score of Blau-Weiss Linz vs Sturm Graz?
Blau-Weiss Linz 0-1 Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Blau-Weiss Linz vs Sturm Graz?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Blau-Weiss Linz 28%, draw 37%, Sturm Graz 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.