Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiss Linz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sturm Graz v Blau-Weiss Linz — Team-Based Signals
Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiss Linz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Sturm Graz
AVU
4-1
HT 2-0
Blau-Weiss Linz
AVU
2-2
HT 1-0
Blau-Weiss Linz
HAZ
Sturm Graz 2-1 Blau-Weiss Linz — Actual Match Statistics
Sturm Graz nicked a narrow win over Blau-Weiss Linz 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sturm Graz as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Sturm Graz had 55% of the ball to Blau-Weiss Linz's 45%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.15 to 0.81 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sturm Graz's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.33 for Blau-Weiss Linz.
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiss Linz?
Sturm Graz 2-1 Blau-Weiss Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiss Linz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 57%, draw 20%, Blau-Weiss Linz 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.