LASK Linz 2-1 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 23 Feb 2025

LASK Linz
2-1 HT 1-0
Rapid Wien
📅23/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

LASK Linz vs Rapid Wien Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.96
6+ Goals
10%
17.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 29% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.75
1/2
10%
27.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
15%
6.51
X/2
10%
5.03
X/X
16%
4.3
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.2
2/X
9%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.9pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

LASK Linz v Rapid Wien — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.89/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.01
+58% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 76%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
21.8 Crosses 18.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

LASK Linz vs Rapid Wien Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LASK Linz
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 1.86
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
303 Passes 334
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-1 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
28.04.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 5-0 HT 3-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
15.03.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
29.10.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-3 HT 1-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
28.07.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
21.05.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-1 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU

LASK Linz 2-1 Rapid Wien — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LASK Linz
2-1
AWAY Rapid Wien
2.69 xG 1.57
36% Ball Possession 64%
16 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
221 Passes 480
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
21 Box Touches 42
16 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH LASK Linz vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz edged past Rapid Wien 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 37% — and on the day LASK Linz made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, LASK Linz had 36% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 64%, shots finished 16-20, expected goals 2.69 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LASK Linz had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for LASK Linz and 1.00 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of LASK Linz vs Rapid Wien?

LASK Linz 2-1 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LASK Linz vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split LASK Linz 32%, draw 32%, Rapid Wien 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rapid Wien), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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