Hartberg 2-0 Rheindorf Altach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.75
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.25
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
14%
5.83
X/2
16%
5.41
X/X
8%
4.12
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
11%
3.78
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.6
Value flag · 2/X at 13.6 — our 10% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+6.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartberg EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rheindorf Altach EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.46/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.07
-24% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
18.3 Crosses 18.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartberg
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Rheindorf Altach
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.06 xG 0.72
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
386 Passes 218
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2025 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-1 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
23.02.2025 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
29.09.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 2-0 HT 0-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
24.02.2024 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-2 HT 1-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
01.10.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 0-0 HT 0-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
13.05.2023 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 0-1 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartberg
2-0
AWAY Rheindorf Altach
1.89 xG 0.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
232 Passes 206
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hartberg vs Rheindorf Altach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartberg saw off Rheindorf Altach 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hartberg as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hartberg had 52% of the ball to Rheindorf Altach's 48%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.89 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartberg had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hartberg and 0.33 for Rheindorf Altach.

What was the final score of Hartberg vs Rheindorf Altach?

Hartberg 2-0 Rheindorf Altach in the Austria - Bundesliga on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Rheindorf Altach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartberg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 41%, draw 26%, Rheindorf Altach 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartberg) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hartberg)
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