Hartberg 2-0 Rheindorf Altach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.28
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.59
6+ Goals
11%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 30% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.64
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
22%
4.41
X/2
7%
7.58
X/X
13%
4.64
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
14%
5.67
2/X
9%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartberg EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Rheindorf Altach EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.65/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.19
+2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
374 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
19.1 Crosses 17.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartberg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Rheindorf Altach
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.22 xG 0.90
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
355 Passes 274
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-2 HT 1-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
01.10.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 0-0 HT 0-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
13.05.2023 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 0-1 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
15.04.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 2-2 HT 0-2 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
16.10.2022 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-0 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
24.07.2022 Hartberg Hartberg 2-1 HT 1-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartberg
2-0
AWAY Rheindorf Altach
0.78 xG 0.82
67% Ball Possession 33%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
454 Passes 175
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hartberg vs Rheindorf Altach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartberg got the better of Rheindorf Altach 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hartberg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Hartberg had 67% of the ball to Rheindorf Altach's 33%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.78 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartberg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hartberg and 0.83 for Rheindorf Altach.

What was the final score of Hartberg vs Rheindorf Altach?

Hartberg 2-0 Rheindorf Altach in the Austria - Bundesliga on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Rheindorf Altach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartberg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 44%, draw 28%, Rheindorf Altach 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartberg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hartberg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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